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...year that all the Bush tax cuts expire. And Harris thinks that if a health-care overall gets passed, that could have significant unforeseen effects on the economy as well. S&P's chief economist, David Wyss, says he thinks most economists are tackling the tricky problem of predicting what will happen in 2011 by doing what they always do: predict the economy will do about average. The problem is that what economists have come to believe is average growth for the U.S. economy in recent years has been falling. The Congressional Budget Office recently said it expects that...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Economic Forecasting: A Foggier View Than Ever | 9/29/2009 | See Source »

...with the new General Education curriculum now mandatory for freshmen, course enrollments in existing classes have seen dramatic shifts from prior years, and figures for new classes has proven difficult to predict...

Author: By Noah S. Rayman and Elyssa A. L. Spitzer, CRIMSON STAFF WRITERS | Title: Enrollment Shifts Stymie TF Hiring | 9/29/2009 | See Source »

...with poor reasoning skills misbehave more often and therefore elicit harsher punishment. "It could be that lower IQ causes parents to get exasperated and hit more," Straus says, although he notes that a recent Duke University study of low-income families found that toddlers' low mental ability did not predict an increase in spanking. (The study did find, however, that kids who were spanked at age 1 displayed more aggressive behavior by age 2 and scored lower on cognitive development tests by age 3.) "I believe the relationship [between corporal punishment and IQ] is probably bidirectional," says Straus. "There...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Kids Who Get Spanked May Have Lower IQs | 9/26/2009 | See Source »

...Monday's meeting, some speakers speculated about what this could mean. Nobody can deny that British newspapers are feeling the pinch; there have been redundancies at most titles, and many predict increasing consolidation of national and regional titles. Observer journalists still fear the Guardian-ization of their newspaper. A union representative warned that any attempt to impose compulsory staff cuts would trigger a strike ballot. But the bulk of the evening was devoted to fond reminiscences of past Observer glories and readings from its archive. (Wisely, nobody attempted the 26,000-word leading article published in 1956, a translation...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: After 208 Years, Is Britain's Observer Near the End? | 9/22/2009 | See Source »

...latest attack against Italian troops and the bring-home-the-boys reaction show how quickly the dominoes of the alliance could begin to fall. And like the situation on the ground in Afghanistan, the next turn in Italian politics is virtually impossible to predict...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Will Italy Pull Its Troops out of Afghanistan? | 9/18/2009 | See Source »

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