Word: predictible
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...course, kids. Virtually every American child takes a standardized test at some point, and yet there is widespread confusion over what tests do and do not measure. Insta-experts from the media and from antitesting groups often repeat fallacies: blacks do better in college than their SAT scores predict (actually, for reasons that aren't well understood, blacks tend to do worse in college than matched groups of whites with the same scores); how well you do on the SAT will determine how well you do in life (SAT scores have little power to predict earnings...
...insistence, the goal of influencing school curriculums has become the overriding preoccupation of the new test's developers. Caperton speaks with less enthusiasm about the traditional mission of the SAT: to help colleges predict how well applicants will do if they are admitted. To be sure, Caperton believes the notion (actually, he's staking his career on it) that the SAT can both improve high schools and still remain useful to colleges as a predictor. But the first goal is a political aim; the second, a psychometric one. And Caperton has surrounded the New SAT with dozens of educators...
...absurd as it may seem to the uninitiated—and as impossible as it would have been for me to predict a few years ago—it has been Radcliffe, which used to be the women’s college here at Harvard, that has helped to define my undergraduate experience and my understanding of my university and its history. That history is still unfolding, and the shockingly imbalanced ratio of female to male tenured Harvard faculty alone makes clear that there are still miles to go before we sleep. (Only 18.3 percent of senior faculty members...
...election approaches, the White House will especially want to avoid getting into more trouble in Iraq and projecting images of confusion and faulty leadership in foreign policy. It is premature now to predict that in order to head off these dangers it will choose pulling back over pressing ahead—we could get our act together, and things could start to break our way. But the aggregation of incentives to pull back enumerated above is already formidable. A decision to back off—whether intentional or by default, whether by declaring victory or by palming...
...going to have particularly strong growth. Something goes on that affects total factor productivity growth, and we don't fully understand it. Fiscal and monetary policy in the '90s made it cheaper for businesses to finance investments in productivity. But it was way beyond any economic model to predict...