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This scenario illustrates a striking new development: Hungary has become the first nation in the Warsaw Pact to offer sanctuary to citizens of a Communist ally. Since January more than 4,500 Rumanians have received permission to settle in Hungary, and officials predict that the number will swell to at least 12,000 by year's end. Virtually all the newcomers belong to the large ethnic Hungarian minority (more than 1.7 million) that lives in the western Rumanian region of Transylvania. The immigrants complain that ethnic Hungarians are the victims of official discrimination. Hungarian authorities agree: in April, Budapest protested...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Eastern Europe: Give Us Your Tired, Your Poor . . . | 7/4/1988 | See Source »

Some of the Government's economic compasses may be poorly constructed as well. The index of leading economic indicators, a compilation of statistics designed to predict the direction of the economy, is frequently derided as the "index of misleading economic indicators" because of its uneven forecasting record. After last October's stock-market crash, the index declined for three consecutive months -- normally a strong sign that a recession is on the way. An upward revision in the December figure, however, broke the downward streak, and fears of a recession evaporated...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Mess of Misleading Indicators | 6/13/1988 | See Source »

...addition to distributing space in the three buildings we are now occupying, we are trying to predict any future needs which might require more space," Barclay says. "This way we can try to take care of any expansion we might anticipate...

Author: By Emily M. Bernstein, | Title: It's a Wonderful Life | 6/9/1988 | See Source »

...addition, academic posts are expected to be more plentiful in the next few years, as about half of the current tenured professors reach retirement age. Vendler says she now feels confident enough when advising students about academic careers that she can predict that jobs will exist when they finish school. "The time has come to press very hard," she says...

Author: By Ross G. Forman, | Title: The Overburdening of the Underrepresented | 6/9/1988 | See Source »

...grand jury actions presented Noriega with a serious dilemma: if he stepped down now, he might face arrest and possible imprisonment. Nor did the CIA or Defense Department predict the extent of Noriega's support among the military. "It's really shocking," says an insider, "how bad our intelligence has been." Soon after the indictments, Panama's mostly powerless President Eric Delvalle went to Washington for a meeting of the Organization of American States. Delvalle told Abrams he planned to announce to the OAS his intention of firing Noriega. Abrams, who continued to harbor hopes of a popular uprising...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: From Hubris to Humiliation | 6/6/1988 | See Source »

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