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...contents: a sweeping survey of the shifting balance of power over five centuries. The book could easily serve as an introductory history text for very bright undergraduates. But Kennedy is not content to end his story in the present. His final chapter, "To the 21st Century," ventures to predict which nations will prosper and decline in the near future. Astrologers do this sort of thing all the time; when a respected historian tries his hand, people pay attention...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Books: Why All Empires Come to Dust THE RISE AND FALL OF THE GREAT POWERS | 2/15/1988 | See Source »

KENNEDY'S work is impressively subtitled "Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000." He does okay for the first four centuries. The last two hundred pages, devoted to "the strategies and economics of today and tomorrow," predict the eventual rise of Japan to great power status and the United States' abdication of its dominant position. It is here that Kennedy commits a historian's most dreadful crime: trying to predict the future from the past. In fact, it leads one to wonder whether Kennedy has not interpreted the past in light of his understanding of the present. Current...

Author: By John C. Yoo, | Title: The Twilight's Last Gleaming | 2/13/1988 | See Source »

Team USA, however, is not likely to find its Olympic competition anywhere near as easy as the Crimson proved to be. Many experts predict the Red, White and Blue (which finished its tour with a 37-18-5 record) will finish behind favored Canada, the Soviet Union and Austria in the medal competition...

Author: NO WRITER ATTRIBUTED | Title: Next Stop: Calgary for Harvard's Best | 2/11/1988 | See Source »

Armed with an abacus (reluctantly traded later for a calculator), she drafted editorial budgets that displayed an uncanny ability to predict the number of wars, snap elections and natural disasters that would occur and thus add to the cost of news coverage. Watt also (gulp!) reviewed our expense accounts. "God help anybody who tried to fool her," says Consulting Picture Editor Arnold Drapkin. "But she was probably the best friend of everybody out in the field." That was certainly true in the case of the photographer who tried to sneak an elephant past her. "I said, 'What the heck...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Letter From the Publisher: Feb. 8, 1988 | 2/8/1988 | See Source »

...vote this package down, you'd better be prepared to bear the consequences," Michel said. "And who among you is smart enough to predict the path on which Daniel Ortega will take...

Author: NO WRITER ATTRIBUTED | Title: House Votes Down Contra Aid Package | 2/4/1988 | See Source »

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