Word: predictible
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Perhaps the most encouraging forecast by the board members is for a slowdown in inflation. They predict that it will end the year at around an 8.6% annual rate, vs. 13.2% for the last quarter of 1980. The small surplus in world petroleum markets is now keeping a tight grip on oil prices, and that will remove one of the key causes of recent inflation (see box). Homeownership costs, which account for about one-fourth of the consumer price index, are up from a year ago, but the increases are tapering off because sales are slow. Good crops and heavy...
...reviving, primarily because of work done at Stanford University. Led by Surgeon Norman Shumway, the Stanford team has performed 209 transplants since 1968 and reports that half of recipients can now be expected to live at least five years. These improved results are largely due to the ability to predict more accurately when the donor heart will be rejected. This allows doctors to use anti-rejection drugs with precision, minimizing undesired side effects...
...differences in deficit estimates are crucial, because they sway judgments on how big a tax cut the nation can afford. The Administration and backers of the Gramm-Latta resolution, which includes the first stage of Reagan's cherished proposal to slash income tax rates 30% over three years, predict a deficit of $31.4 billion in fiscal 1982. No, says Jones, the red-ink figure would be $42.6 billion-whereas, under the Democrats' proposal for a more modest tax cut, the deficit would be held to $24.7 billion...
...effect on King and her sport could be serious. At her press conference, held at a hotel adjacent to Los Angeles International Airport, the 20-time Wimbledon winner said of her fans: "I hope they will respond with compassion and understanding." No doubt many will. But no one can predict the response of the TV networks whose broadcasts King appears on, and the companies that sponsor tournaments she plays in or whose products she endorses. If they decide that she has been tainted and cancel her contracts, she could lose much of her standing in the tennis world and much...
...most serious dispute centers around the Pentagon's inflation estimate. Secretary of Defense Caspar Weinberger, backed by OMB Chief David Stockman, insists that inflation will fall much faster than most economic forecasters predict. Weinberger has jiggered his budget accordingly by adding billions of dollars worth of armaments. Yet many Pentagon backers in Congress are afraid that support for increased defense spending will quickly erode if Weinberger's economic forecasts prove too rosy and defense estimates start spiraling upward while Congress is simultaneously slashing domestic programs. Says Democrat Sam Nunn of Georgia, long an advocate of rejuvenating the military...