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...Alan Nairn, head of the Nader study group, claim this is direct evidence of an economic bias in the tests. The Nairn-Nader study says ETS statistics show SATs are not a very accurate predictor of a student's first year grades. "Ninety per cent of the time, tests predict a student's first year grades no more accurately than a roll of dice," Massade says. Although Mary Churchill, associate director of the Information Division of ETS, agrees that high school grades are statistically a better indicator of a student's performance, she believes that Nairn misinterpreted ETS findings...

Author: By Marc J. Jenkins, | Title: Testing: Questioning the Standards | 2/27/1980 | See Source »

While acknowledging Connally's strength in the South, Thompson notes that most of Reagan's support in 1976 came from the South and West. "Southern voters tend not to change their minds over four years," he says. But he will not predict victory in Florida...

Author: By Burton F. Jablin, | Title: New Hampshire is Only the Beginning | 2/25/1980 | See Source »

Cronin does not predict victory for Crane, either. Crane is stressing Florida, where he believes his name recognition is higher and where he will stage a more extensive media campaign than he has in New England. Cronin expects Crane to "run with the front-runners," meaning that if Bush receives 35 per cent of the Florida vote, Crane will garner 25 per cent...

Author: By Burton F. Jablin, | Title: New Hampshire is Only the Beginning | 2/25/1980 | See Source »

...also says that the Illinois campaign suffered the greatest financial setback when funds began to dry up after Kennedy's 2-1 defeat in Iowa last month. But despite Kennedy's woes in the Land of Lincoln, Carter's strategist does not predict overwhelming victory. "We're ahead at this point," Franks acknowledges, "but the election is almost a month away...

Author: By Burton F. Jablin, | Title: New Hampshire is Only the Beginning | 2/25/1980 | See Source »

Werner Heisenberg's Principle of Uncertainty states that no one can predict the exact behavior of even a single atomic particle. Heisenberg might have appreciated the 1980 Winter Olympics. The Lake Placid Games have developed into a sort of festival of life's unpredictability. No one knows whether they will be the last Olympics of the modern era; international politics will settle that. A similar uncertainty hung like fog over the frozen spectators; none of them knew whether they would ever find a bus to carry them away from a darkening mountain to warmth again. Lake Placid...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Olympics: Only the Lake Was Placid | 2/25/1980 | See Source »

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