Word: predicting
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...tests are biased at the right tail, in the predictive sense discussed above: a 700 is not a 700 is not a 700. But the direction most people anticipate. Test scores at the right tail often overpredict the later academic performance of women and minorities compared to other students. In fact, at the right tail women perform slightly worse than their scores would predict; blacks also perform worse. Blacks may obtain grades up to half a standard deviation below what their scores would have led one to expect. Examples from the College, the Law School, and the Kennedy School support...
...Klitgaard '68, special assistant to President Bok, sparked controversy because of its claims about the aptitude and performance of certain ethnic groups. The so-called "Klitgaard report" states that women and minorities at top universities often do not perform as well academically as their high aptitude-test scores would predict, and it adds that Jewish students often do better academically than their scores would indicate...
Perhaps the most encouraging forecast by the board members is for a slowdown in inflation. They predict that it will end the year at around an 8.6% annual rate, vs. 13.2% for the last quarter of 1980. The small surplus in world petroleum markets is now keeping a tight grip on oil prices, and that will remove one of the key causes of recent inflation (see box). Homeownership costs, which account for about one-fourth of the consumer price index, are up from a year ago, but the increases are tapering off because sales are slow. Good crops and heavy...
...reviving, primarily because of work done at Stanford University. Led by Surgeon Norman Shumway, the Stanford team has performed 209 transplants since 1968 and reports that half of recipients can now be expected to live at least five years. These improved results are largely due to the ability to predict more accurately when the donor heart will be rejected. This allows doctors to use anti-rejection drugs with precision, minimizing undesired side effects...
...effect on King and her sport could be serious. At her press conference, held at a hotel adjacent to Los Angeles International Airport, the 20-time Wimbledon winner said of her fans: "I hope they will respond with compassion and understanding." No doubt many will. But no one can predict the response of the TV networks whose broadcasts King appears on, and the companies that sponsor tournaments she plays in or whose products she endorses. If they decide that she has been tainted and cancel her contracts, she could lose much of her standing in the tennis world and much...