Word: predicting
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...Bradley effect? I predict a reverse Bradley effect this go-round. It will be fueled by sweet old ladies who have been voting Republican since Eisenhower and rugged blue collar workers who were Reagan men but who can't bring themselves to press that button and vote for McCain-Palin. They won't admit it to their friends and family--or the exit-poll people. Margie Shepherd, FREE UNION...
This time, Shaheen benefited from strong anti-incumbent sentiment that experts predict led to Democratic pickups in the House and Senate races and a presidential victory for Democrat Barack Obama...
...Exit polling - surveying people leaving voting locations about the ballots they cast - debuted in the 1960s, as news organizations (and on a small scale, candidates) sought to gather demographic data about voters that could be used to predict election results. Legendary polling pioneer Warren Mitofsky conducted the first major exit poll for a network during the 1967 Kentucky governor's race and by the 1970s, exit polling had become an industry practice. But in 1980, NBC reported Ronald Reagan's 1980 victory over Jimmy Carter nearly three hours before polls closed on the West Coast, leading to a large-scale...
...Even though election officials can't predict the future, they could make a more scientific guess in many places. To predict how many machines they will need, officials could multiply the estimated number of people registered to vote by the amount of time it takes to complete a given ballot at a given machine and then divide that by the number of hours the voting booths will be open, according to Allen and his colleague Mikhail Bernshteyn of Sagata Ltd., a business-statistics firm that consults with election officials...
...Despite Indiana's presidential voting record, it's hard to predict the outcome of this year's race, which right now looks like a virtual dead heat in the polls. Much of it will depend on how much both slates of candidates can get their supporters to actually show up at the polls. That's why on a recent Wednesday night, Chuck Stouder, a 58-year-old RV plant worker, walked from house to house in a leafy, Elkhart County subdivision. His target: Democrats, and voters who had yet to choose a presidential candidate. Some folks didn't bother opening...