Word: prediction
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Excessive daytime drowsiness in older adults may predict a significantly increased risk of stroke, said researchers reporting data on Thursday at the International Stroke Conference in New Orleans...
...think you can predict what you will like, think again. When people try to estimate how much they will enjoy a future experience, they are dependably wrong, according to research by Harvard psychologists - and the reason is something they call "attentional collapse." When we imagine future experiences, we tend to compare them with alternative experiences - experiences we've had in the past, or other experiences we might have before or after. But the fact is that none of those alternatives come into play once we're actually in the moment. That's what Daniel Gilbert, author and Harvard psychology professor...
...latest research, conducted in collaboration with social psychologist Carey Morewedge of Carnegie Mellon University and presented last weekend at the American Association for the Advancement of Science conference in Boston, Gilbert bolsters the theory that our inability to predict enjoyment of our future experiences keeps us from accurately predicting what will make us happiest in the future overall...
Take the simple act of eating a potato chip. In a series of experiments, Gilbert invited Harvard undergraduates to a lab stocked with potato chips, along with either sardines or chocolate. To compare expected versus actual enjoyment of the experience, one group of students was asked to predict how much they would enjoy the chips compared to the relatively better food (chocolate) or the worse food (sardines); this forecasting group was asked to imagine eating the chips before, after or instead of the alternatives. Students in another "experience" group were instructed to eat the chips and the other foods. Turns...
...strong that opposition parties will overcome minor manipulation in the polls and will still be able to form a government. "Even if the election is rigged to some degree, it won't be a problem for us," he says. "But if it's rigged massively, I can't predict what will happen." Zardari can - he's promised to take to the streets in massive civil protests if the results show less than the predicted PPP victory. Public sentiment seems to follow. "It will be unbelievable if the PPP does not get a majority," says Abdul Satar, a textile worker...