Word: predictioneer
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Root of the Glueck system is indeed an actuarial method. After gathering elaborate statistics on thousands of criminals, the Gluecks have isolated key factors that tip off the future behavior of men, women or children with a criminal bent. Result: with the Gluecks' "prediction tables," judges, policemen and social...
Three predictive tables were formulated from the findings in Unraveling Juvenile Delinquency. These tables were designed to make it possible to spot possible delinquents at a stage when they can be steered away from a life of crime. Of the three devices, only one, the Social Prediction Table, has been...
The SPT is composed of five factors with subcategories (see box). The scores for each subcategory represent the percentage of delinquents among the 1,000 cases of Unraveling Juvenile Delinquency who fell into the particular subcategory. For example, if a particular child has been harshly disciplined by his father, he...
Several retrospective validations of the Social Prediction Table have been made since its publication in 1950. The first appeared in the spring of 1952--a study made by Bertram J. Black and Selma J. Glick of the Jewish Board of Guardians in New York City.
This was clearly reflected in the categorization of this group of girl offenders on the five social factors that comprise the prediction table. Laxity of discipline by father, for example, was found in 75.6 per cent of the girls as contrasted with only 26.6 per cent of all the boys...