Word: predictioneer
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But the reporters in the room seemed less interested in whether Bush would keep his word than in whether he would admit fallibility. The event felt more like an intervention, with a psychoanalytic press corps trying to goad the president into admitting that he had made a mistake, if not...
But the basic institutions are barely in place. There is still no retail bank in Iraq. No taxes have been collected. Even the normally upbeat U.S. officials admit that the prediction of foreign businesses storming the gates was off the mark. "People are afraid to set foot in here," says...
This new work has improved economic prediction. With Laibson’s models, they can now predict patterns of credit card borrowing, saving in 401k plans and even addictions. “You know that you have been incredibly influential when your work is used and people stop mentioning your...
Outsourcing isn't the only jobs issue the Bush White House has uncharacteristically bumbled lately. Another political land mine exploded when the 417-page Economic Report of the President, sent to Congress under Bush's signature, delivered the staggeringly optimistic forecast that the economy would create millions of jobs this...
The preregistration debate of last spring was an extremely healthy one, the fruits of which are only now being realized. Legitimate problems are being addressed—and in far more amenable ways. As course enrollment prediction becomes more accurate and the TF hiring process becomes more streamlined, we all...