Word: predictions
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Dates: during 1950-1959
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...Confidential Guide attempts to sample all members of the courses it lists; actual return on the polls runs about 30 to 50 percent. The comparison with national public opinion polling seems hardly valid: in such surveys, a small error can cause a faulty prediction; the Confidential Guide makes no attempt to predict. It tries only to present student opinion on courses, and it has frequently revised its methods to make the sampling of those opinions more accurate...
There are still some Americans who believe that any preparations for defense will provoke Russia. They may be right. Nobody can predict with certainty how the Kremlin will react. Men, however, rarely have a chance to act on certainties. They deal in probabilities. The probability is that the Russians will be more likely to attack if the U.S. and its Allies remain in or near their present indefensible condition...
...mimeographed statement. It said: "It is my personal belief that Taft right now is secretly hoping for an American defeat in Korea as his last desperate chance for re-election." Even Democratic National Chairman William Boyle was taken aback by this know-nothing assault, but he recovered himself to predict: "Ferguson will walk away with the election...
Quick Recovery. Such predictions left out of account not only the facts of life of the Korean war itself, but the facts of life in the rest of Asia and the world. Moscow may have been severely disconcerted by the bold U.S. intervention in Korea, but Stalin's men have a way of recovering quickly from surprises. Facing this week's situation, they were well aware that nearly all combat-ready ground troops at U.S. disposal, except for thin minimum needs for garrison duty, were committed, or soon would be, in Korea. No man could soundly predict victory...
Democratic National Chairman William Boyle Jr. chugged into the White House to report to the chief, and chugged out again, to predict solid Democratic gains in November. He said confidently that the Democrats would retire Taft, Capehart and Donnell from the Senate. (Democrats were sure that "Mr. Republican," Ohio's Taft, was hurting himself by his opposition to the President's mobilization program...