Word: predictive
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...What the forecasters can't predict at all is where the track of these storms might lead. Some of them undoubtedly won't make landfall at all, and the ones that do could strike almost anywhere from Massachusetts down to Mexico. With the increase in population in most coastal areas, there will be that much greater potential for death and destruction. With any luck, the lessons of Katrina will at least make evacuations more timely and orderly. But anyone who lives on the Atlantic or Gulf Coast of North America, or on islands in the Caribbean, should begin thinking...
...they insist on continuing their attacks, I will have to defend my country." Hawks are ascendant on both sides. DeVotta says elements in the government believe the split within the L.T.T.E. has weakened the rebels to a point where they can be beaten in war. Chalk and other observers predict a full-scale attack by the Tigers on Jaffna, accompanied by suicide bombs in Colombo. "If war breaks out it will spell doom to the entire country and create an unbridgeable ethnic chasm," says the L.T.T.E.'s Balasingham. That realization makes it no less likely to happen...
...N.O.P.D. uses a higher population estimate for the city and claims that the murder rate is lower. No one really knows the exact population. But whatever the number, the forces at work in New Orleans change daily, so it is hard to predict the future. For example, last month, under threat of a lawsuit by the National Rifle Association, police began redistributing guns that had been confiscated as an emergency measure after Katrina. So far, 47 out of a stockpile of 942 have been returned. FEMA assistance is expected to drop in the next several months, which could also incite...
...surface it sounds ok,” he said about the 30-year embargo on development. “But what’s the funding cycle for institutions like this? About 30 years.” Cook disagreed. “It’s very hard to predict,” he said. “Thirty years is a long time from now. “Let me put it this way, I won’t be director.” —Staff writer Alexandra C. Bell can be reached at acbell@fas.harvard.edu...
Whether rates will ultimately rise is a matter of debate. Premiums are set according to a state's loss-data history, not a single event. Insurance firms developed more sophisticated modeling techniques after Hurricane Andrew. Now they are able to predict with greater accuracy the frequency and potential damage of storms like Katrina and spread their risk across the country accordingly. While residents in hurricane-prone areas can expect rate hikes, "people in Alaska won't be paying for this," says Robert Hartwig, chief economist with the Insurance Information Institute...