Word: predictor
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...managed to infuriate everyone sooner or later. He was a Harvard professor who saw himself as the last vestige of Tammany Hall, a machine politician without a machine but with an ancient mandate to care for working stiffs, widows and orphans. He believed ethnicity was a more potent predictor of political behavior than social class. He outraged liberals by insisting that too many black children were being raised without fathers; he outraged conservatives by opposing Clinton's welfare reform because he didn't want to see those children hurt. He was an avid patriot and anticommunist, especially when he served...
...upsets. As with underdog Butler, a 47-46 winner this weekend (and did the NCAA tournament get even half the flak the Academy did for putting on its show?), low numbers won in Oscar pools this year. AMPAS members reversed longstanding traditions. The Directors Guild (a 91% accurate predictor of Oscar gold) had picked Rob Marshall as their man; Polanski won. The Screen Actors Guild chose Daniel Day-Lewis and Renee Zellweger as statuette sure shots. As for "Gangs of New York," you might not have picked it for Best Film vote, but you also didn't guess that...
...automatic qualifiers is often mired in controversy. When the committee has to make the tough decisions—picking the No. 1-4 seeds and selecting the final at-large teams—it uses more than just than the RPI. In fact, the RPI has been a poor predictor of these decisions...
Although Conant and Chauncey intended to use the SAT as a tool to further democratize American education, the test has been criticized for being racially biased and a poor predictor of college performance. The advent of expensive SAT tutors and preparation courses has led many educators to question whether success on the test is reserved for the wealthy...
...everyone agrees that the incidence of fibbing is up, nobody agrees why. Employers find that applicants tend to lie more when the economy turns south and jobs grow scarce. The real predictor of who will stretch the truth, however, is not underlying work circumstances but underlying personality. According to psychologist Robin Inwald, head of New York City-based Hilson Research, which sells psychological testing to corporations, almost all job applicants score high on what is known as the guardedness scale--the degree to which they are determined to make a good impression on a potential employer...