Word: predictor
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...four years ago, when he got 19% of the vote, Perot could make chaos theory the best predictor of November's outcomes. A new TIME/CNN poll indicates that in a three-way race held now, Perot would get 14% of the vote, Clinton 46% and Dole 33%. Perot's presence would draw more votes from Dole (7 points) than from Clinton (3 points). Even so, White House strategists are worried about a Candidate Perot who aims most of his fire, as he did in 1992, at the incumbent President...
...RECIPE FOR PRESIDENTIAL RE-ELECTION used to be simple: keep employment high and prices low. Indeed, as of the early 1980s, the noted political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset was touting this formula as a potent predictor of electoral outcomes. Just add up the unemployment and inflation rates, he said. If this "misery index" was below 10, thumbs up for the incumbent. If above 10, then it was time to pen the memoirs...
...just as in another business, there is a trade-off between quality and cash-flow. The question becomes whether the trade-off results in anything less than fairness. Is the SAT the well-constructed, well-administered test that its marketers say it is, or is it just the best predictor of college success that can be afforded in a world of "prohibitive costs...
Even a first-class temperament, however, is not a sure predictor of a successful presidency. According to Duke University political scientist James David Barber, the most perfect blend of intellect and warmth of personality in a Chief Executive was the brilliant Thomas Jefferson, who "knew the importance of communication and empathy. He never lost the common touch." Richard Ellis, a professor of politics at Oregon's Willamette University who is skeptical of the whole EQ theory, cites two 19th century Presidents who did not fit the mold. "Martin Van Buren was well adjusted, balanced, empathetic and persuasive...
There is striking new evidence that the standard blood test for prostate cancer is a good predictor of which men will develop it, according to a new study in Wednesday's issue of The Journal of the American Medical Association. Researchers say the blood test predicted almost three-quarters of the malignancies that developed within four years among thousands of middle-age and elderly men. Just as important, the test had a low rate of false positives, 9 percent. That means that the test will steer most patients away from unnecessary surgery.Many men with benign or slow-growing tumors decline...