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...will the economic stimulus from the program spread? The economic impact of the program is significant but short-lived. If we assume an average selling price of $25,000 for the program, and total unit sales of 700,000, the cash-for-clunkers program generated at least $17.5 billion of economic activity, not including incremental sales of additional products, such as extended warranties, alarm systems and financing revenue for the dealerships - as well as roughly $875 million in sales-tax revenue for state governments. When we add in the fiscal multiplier effect, the net impact of the program was easily...
...manufacturers like GM, Hyundai and Ford wise to boost production at this point in the economic cycle? Yes, as long as the production increases are done for the right type of vehicles - such as high-demand, low-supply, gas-efficient cars and crossovers - and for the right price point. Recently announced production increases are modest and fit this description; therefore, I'd agree with them. The worst-case scenario for dealers - and the manufacturers - is to have qualified buyers on your lot and not have the inventory to sell. (See the most exciting cars...
...first batch of numbers instilling hope that we've arrived at a bottom shows that house prices are beginning to creep back up. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 cities saw a 1.4% gain between May and June. That's only the second time the index has risen since the summer of 2006 (the other time was the month before). Once you adjust the data for seasonality - the fact that houses tend to sell for more money in the warmer months - the increase in July was actually the first since May 2006. Home-price data from...
...This is good news for sure, but the data don't come without caveats. First of all, as economist Robert Shiller has pointed out, the index that bears his name has shown signs of turning a corner in the past. In early 2008, the rate of monthly home-price declines started dropping (that is, the housing situation looked to be moving from really bad to less bad). That momentum didn't stick, though, owing to the broader economic downturn. This time around, a first-time homebuyer tax credit is giving a huge boost to the market - nearly a third...
...Furthermore, just because house prices overall may be rebounding, that doesn't mean everyone benefits. Looking at the Case-Shiller data broken down by house price makes clear that the high end of the housing market is still in trouble. For low- and mid-tier houses - roughly, those costing less than $430,000 - prices in June rose between 2.3% and 2.6%. For more-expensive houses, prices nudged up just...