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What's the antidote to that kind of mass delusion? Shiller seems to have no interest in substituting his judgment, or the government's, for the market's. Instead, he sees information and innovation as the counter to group think. An active market in house-price futures and options--Shiller has recently helped launch such securities on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange--would let skeptical speculators prick housing bubbles, he argues. If banks wrote continuous-workout mortgages--in which the terms changed depending on house prices, unemployment and the like--homeowners might be less addicted to rising prices. If government subsidized...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crash Master | 9/4/2008 | See Source »

Weigh the variables. The things that most affect the price of your policy, in order: age (see above), rate and length of coverage (most policies are from one year to five years), waiting period (benefits typically start after 30 to 90 days of illness) and inflation protection (benefits rise automatically each year...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Thinking Long Term | 9/4/2008 | See Source »

Shop around. Different carriers have different areas of expertise, and they price coverage accordingly. If you're a diabetic, you'll probably get a better rate at John Hancock than Genworth; if you've had a stroke, you'll probably get a better deal at MedAmerica than John Hancock. So get bids from at least three carriers, and see if long-term-care insurance makes sense for you. The cost of care is only going to get higher...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Thinking Long Term | 9/4/2008 | See Source »

...more than $3 billion in shares--or 10% of the company's total value--to Sasol employees, black South Africans and other previously disadvantaged groups. A finance deal will allow buyers to own shares by putting down a small deposit, and since the shares are being sold below market price, they will offer an immediate return. The aim is to create 100,000 to 200,000 new shareholders...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Dirty Little Secret | 9/4/2008 | See Source »

That future, as Davies notes, could be dazzling. With the price of crude at one point this year reaching $147 per bbl., interest in alternative sources of oil is unprecedented. A big part of that interest comes from the U.S., India and China, which all rely on oil imports and have massive coal reserves. Feasibility studies for Sasol to build two plants in China, each projected to produce 80,000 bbl. a day by 2012, are at an advanced stage. In the U.S., Sasol is courting interest from several states, including Montana, Illinois and Wyoming, as well...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Dirty Little Secret | 9/4/2008 | See Source »

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