Word: pullings
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Even among Cubans in Florida, says Amandi, Obama should pull 35%, which would be one of the all-time highs for a Democratic presidential candidate. Perhaps just as important, Amandi foresees Obama getting 65% of the under-40 Cuban-American vote in Miami, underscoring the generational divide unfolding in that community. Hialeah, a once predominantly Cuban exile enclave adjoining Miami that today has a growing non-Cuban Latino population, seemed a microcosm of Amandi's findings today. Mireya Concepcion, 57, a Cuban-born cosmetologist who fled Castro's revolution in 1969, walked out of the polling station at the Salvation...
...American views," her Democratic opponent, Elwin Tinklenberg, saw more than $1 million in donations from across the nation in a week. Further, Aubrey Immelman, the Republican runner-up in the primary, is back in the race against her, running as a write-in candidate. He rejuvenated his campaign to pull Republican votes from Bachmann because she "dishonored her office." Says Immelman: "I've been waging a one-man campaign against Representative Bachmann since July, and now, for the first time, I have groups wanting to talk to me and giving me money," Immelman told TIME.By Justin P. Horwath / Minneapolis...
Still, the challenge of choosing precincts that accurately reflect the broader region remains immense, as does the quest to pull a truly random sample of voters. The 2006 congressional election included a bias for the Democrats once again, and several of the Democratic exit polls during the primary contest between Obama and Hillary Clinton ended up being wrong, even though some of these reforms were already in place. Still, for this election at least, the exit polls do not appear to have gone too far astray...
...Dole may yet pull out a victory despite the predictions of the pollsters. If she does, it will be hard to argue that it wasn't her attack on Hagan's faith that put her over the top. That may leave some observers, including eleven in-state newspapers, shaking their heads, but as the Charlotte Observer put it, "Somewhere, Jesse Helms is laughing and clapping in glee...
...three guys who registered with the state party but for years struggled to get a quorum. The group now has hundreds of members and has helped to register thousands of voters this cycle. While there's little chance of Obama carrying Yavapai County, the group hopes it can pull off a good enough showing that, when added to what Dems are hoping will be record turnout in big urban areas, especially in Pima County, the state might swing to Obama. "Then, I'd go out and buy a bigger sign," says Michael Cosentino, one of the three founders...