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...prospects for success at the Beijing talks will hinge largely on the work of the hosts. China, as the supplier of 70 percent of North Korea's energy and one third of its food, is the only outside power with significant leverage over Pyongyang. But Beijing is lowering expectations. China's President Hu Jintao said earlier this week that the meeting in Beijing would be "just a beginning." And that may be precisely what concerns those who fear North Korea is simply playing for time while building its bomb...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea | 8/14/2003 | See Source »

...schizophrenia of U.S. policy towards North Korea. Ever since it first assumed office, the Bush administration has been divided over how to deal with the regime of Kim Jong Il. In February 2001 Secretary of State Colin Powell told Congress that the new administration would continue the dialogue with Pyongyang begun by the Clinton team, but was quickly rebuked by President Bush's skepticism that North Korea could be trusted to keep its agreements. North Korea justified that skepticism late the following year by admitting that it had been pursuing a clandestine nuclear weapons program in violation...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea | 8/14/2003 | See Source »

...have the materials and the capability to assemble up to six nuclear weapons within a few months, and left undeterred it could build a lot more over the next decade. Besides the prospect of a nuclear-armed North Korea triggering a regional arms race and destabilizing much of Asia, Pyongyang's basket-case economy has made it almost heavily reliant for foreign exchange on the sale of missiles and other weapons systems. The fear that North Korea might eventually sell nuclear weapons to rogue regimes or terrorists is at the center of Washington's concerns...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea | 8/14/2003 | See Source »

...preferred solution among the four additional parties attending the Beijing talks is a comprehensive deal that guarantees the dismantling of the North's nuclear program in exchange for guarantees that North Korea won't be attacked by the U.S. Pyongyang is insisting that this come in the form of a formal non-aggression pact with Washington, but that's a non-starter for the Bush Administration, not least because it would require Senate ratification. Instead, the U.S. may offer some written guarantee that falls short of treaty status, and indications from Moscow are that Russia and China may be willing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea | 8/14/2003 | See Source »

...deterrent is the key to his survival - a belief reinforced by the fate of Saddam Hussein - and that he's rushing headlong to attain nuclear status regardless of what transpires in negotiations. After all, the nations talking to North Korea to prevent it going nuclear are unlikely to shun Pyongyang once it demonstrates nuclear capability. The examples of Israel, India and Pakistan demonstrate that nuclear capability ensures respect even from the most hostile of neighbors...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea | 8/14/2003 | See Source »

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