Word: q4
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...average wages will probably drop sharply at the same time. The effect of fewer people losing jobs while those who are working make less is no clear sign that the economic world is getting better. GDP numbers which are significantly influenced by dangerous trends in inventories like the Q4 2008 figure defy clear interpretation...
...shares of GM, which are commanding a mere $2.04 a share - about the price of a subway ride in New York City. Observing that the industry is gripped by an "automotive depression," S&P's Efraim Levy added, "We do not foresee an uptick in industry demand before Q4 '09 at the earliest." Chrysler was spared a similar indignity because it is privately held...
...concerns that economists will have to have is whether some of the effects of consumer spending and corporate investments have slipped into the current quarter. If so, that will have to be added to GDP contraction which is already almost certainly much worse than in Q4. Based on early statistics about consumer confidence, employment, real estate prices, and capital spending a GDP contraction in the range of 10% should not be a surprise...
...were tied to positions that had already been taken, then shame on BofA. If Merrill's traders made bad bets in the fourth quarter, it's worth asking again, Where were BofA's risk and compliance troops? Wouldn't you want to be all over these people, especially in Q4? Or maybe they all took John Thain at his word when, in October, he said, "We continue to reduce exposures and deleverage the balance sheet prior to closing the Bank of America deal." Those words were surely reassuring, but isn't the whole idea of financial risk management that...
...what is happening to consumer credit, LBOs, and the alarming increase in corporate bankruptcies means that Citi may need more than one injection of capital this year. The same holds true for Bank of America and a number of other financial firms which have not yet telegraphed their Q4 numbers...