Word: q4
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...Total PCE inflation (four-quarter change) went from 5 percent in 1973:Q2 to 11.4 percent in 1974:Q4, an increase of 6.4 percentage points. If we take 1972:Q4, in which inflation was 3.4 percent, as the starting point, the increase in inflation to the 1974 peak was 8 percentage points...
...Market concerns over weak economic indicators and an increased risk of war in the Middle East pushed mortgage rates lower," said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at mortgage-finance company Freddie Mac (which, unsurprisingly, posted a 25 percent increase in net income in Q4). "That and falling stock prices raised investor appeal for U.S. Treasury Bonds, which in turn, allowed most interest rates to drift even lower...
...Wednesday, analysts downgraded AOL Time Warner (parent company of this writer), actually slapped a "sell" - and a bankruptcy warning - on Kmart, and even pooh-poohed sole Internet survive-and-thriver eBay, just weeks before what everybody expects to be one depressing Q4 earnings announcements. And it's not just the rear-view - few expect the corporate-earnings recession to reverse itself with much drama. The 2002 graph should be slanted up - it'd be hard to slant down after the last year and half - but it looks like it'll be a pretty gentle grade...
...That something may be a big company?s bullish Q4 outlook; it may be something as small like Cisco?s announcement Tuesday that it was finally whittling down its piles of unsold inventory. You never know how mass delusions get started. More likely it?s going to have to be a general feeling that the economy (and the tech sector) has located the courage to start making new and exciting things again. Particularly the kinds of business-investment purchases that make higher productivity - more stuff at less cost - possible...
...head off wage pressures and inflation, do his job too well? The Commerce Department on Thursday revised third-quarter economic growth Thursday down to 2.2 percent, the lowest since 1996 and a far cry from Q2's 5.6 percent. And barring a Christmas retail-sales miracle this weekend, Q4 isn't looking much better. Consumer confidence is down. Auto sales are down. Everything is down, except unemployment...