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...future on a budget that tops $7,000,000 a year. The armed forces have long been in the future business. The Air Force, at Wright-Patterson A.F.B., conducts studies of the whole problem of scientific prediction, also contributes $15 million a year to Santa Monica's Rand Corp. to think-and not necessarily about weapons systems. The nonprofit Hudson Institute investigates the possibilities of war and peace along with the future in general. At the University of Illinois, Dr. Charles Osgood is conducting a "computerized exploration of the year 2000," and the Southern Illinois University is providing money...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Essay: THE FUTURISTS: Looking Toward A.D. 2000 | 2/25/1966 | See Source »

...other methods seem fairly arcane. Defense Expert Herman Kahn, for instance, uses "scenario writing," in which various alternative future situations are dramatized. Some forecasters use computers to produce a symbolic "model" of particular social or economic structures-including whole industries or nations-and then simulate the interaction of variables. Rand uses the "Delphi" method, in which a wide range of experts are queried and re-queried for their forecasts, arriving finally at a near-consensus. Prognosticators concede that the timing and nature of pure inventions or basic breakthroughs-such as the achievement of atomic fission-are not predictable. In many...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Essay: THE FUTURISTS: Looking Toward A.D. 2000 | 2/25/1966 | See Source »

...conviction opens the way for prosecution of crusading Johannesburg Editor Laurence Gandar, who for years has been one of Verwoerd's most nettlesome critics. Gandar ordered his Rand Daily Mail to publish Strachan's story after a thorough check convinced him that it was true. Obviously, he should have known better...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: South Africa: Immaculate Confinement | 2/4/1966 | See Source »

Later he fell in love with a misanthropic girl who had gone to Bennington on an Ayn Rand wrestling scholarship and had majored in guerrilla warfare. At school she had written a term paper for Religion 1, proving that there was room at the inn-only it was restricted. She was expelled from school and went into antimissionary work, following Billy Graham by two days and bringing people back from...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Comedians: Country Boy | 1/28/1966 | See Source »

...Your Essay was much needed, but to attempt a discussion of contemporary philosophy without mentioning Ayn Rand and objectivism is like discussing instant photography without mentioning Land and Polaroid...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Letters: Jan. 21, 1966 | 1/21/1966 | See Source »

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