Word: reals
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...reason is that the roaring real estate market is complicating Beijing's decisions on when and how to unwind the drastic stimulus measures that policymakers put in place to combat the global recession. There is clearly a link between Beijing's ultra-loose monetary policy and the run-up in property prices. The amount of new loans granted by Chinese banks in the first 10 months of 2009 surged an eye-popping 144%, to $1.3 trillion, from the same period in 2008. The easy money policy has led to a fantastic increase in property deals - up 82% in October...
...investment in the sector - which accounts for a full 10% of GDP - has been a key driver of China's overall economic rebound. Investment in property jumped nearly 18% in the first three quarters of 2009 from the same period in 2008. (Read "China's Own Version of the Real Estate Bust...
...China's policymakers are indicating that pro-growth policies will stay in place. Economists don't expect the central bank to hike interest rates until next year. Instead, analysts think the government will try to avoid a real estate bubble by implementing sector-specific measures in the coming months to cool down property prices, like tightening access to mortgages for buyers of second homes - who are more likely to be purchasing apartments as speculative investments. (Read "Will China's Consumers Save the World Economy...
...economists believe that the longer Beijing keeps the stimulus tap open, the greater the danger that the good times in Chinese real estate could turn ugly. Louis Kuijs, a China economist at the World Bank in Beijing, commented in early November that even though Chinese policymakers may not need a "major tightening" right away, "risks of asset price bubbles and misallocation of resources in the face of high liquidity need to be mitigated." Kuijs concluded that "the overall monetary stance will have to be tightened eventually." Beijing's big test is to make sure that doesn't happen too early...
Read "Hong Kong: The World's Most Expensive Real Estate...