Word: rebounds
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That may seem dismal to anyone waiting for a housing-market rebound, but there is also some cause for cautious optimism in the Trulia analysis, which plumbed listings from brokers, agents, third-party aggregators and multiple-listing services on July 1. Some markets that were hit early and hard in the housing bust have been seeing a declining percentage of markdowns the past few months. In late April, for instance, 33% of houses in Los Angeles had been reduced in price. In early June, that figure inched down to 32%, and in the most recent analysis, it had dropped...
...keep them afloat. What's more, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve have purchased more than $700 billion of Fannie and Freddie mortgage securities. Still, the turnaround of the two companies is not yet in sight. Lockhart said the bottom lines of Fannie and Freddie probably won't rebound for another year...
...California faces a $25 billion budget shortfall, which it must resolve by July 1, the state is on the brink of financial disaster, and ripples from its fiscal collapse could adversely affect both the nation's economic rebound and, potentially, the Federal Government's credit status. The Republican governor and GOP legislators say they will not raise taxes, especially after Schwarzenegger and six Republican legislators joined a budget deal with Democrats in February that combined deep cuts and $12.8 billion in higher taxes. Now the budget shortfall has spiked again as state tax receipts have dropped 27% from a year...
...This is where hopes of an Asia-led rebound are most tenuous. After a dozen years of excess, the overextended American consumer is tapped out. The "green shoots" crowd - those believing global recovery is nigh - drew special encouragement from a 2.2% rebound in real U.S. consumer expenditure in the first quarter of 2009. That encouragement is about to be dashed. Outright contractions in retail sales in March and April point to a renewed decline of at least 1% in real consumption in the current quarter...
...will face stiff and enduring headwinds. Nowhere is this more evident than in China, where the mood has turned particularly upbeat. While I no longer doubt that China's performance will be better than expected in 2009, there is good reason to be wary of extrapolation. China's incipient rebound relies on a timeworn stimulus formula: upping the ante on infrastructure spending to support growth in anticipation of a return of global demand for Chinese-made goods. It's the latter presumption that remains iffy as the U.S. opts for prudence over profligacy...