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None of this means that the recent talk of a turn in the economy is necessarily nonsense. It's just an indication that consumer spending, typically a driver of economic upturns, may well be a drag this time. Personal-consumption expenditures as measured by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis had grown to more than 70% of gross domestic product (GDP) in recent years, well above the 1950s-1990s average of 64%. This was an artifact of the consumer and mortgage credit boom of the 2000s, and economists ranging from Morgan Stanley's Stephen Roach to White House...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: If Consumers Won't Kick-Start the Economy, What Will? | 5/13/2009 | See Source »

Business investment fell at a staggering 38% annual rate in the first quarter - the worst such performance since the government began keeping quarterly records in 1947. That can't go on forever, and much of the recent talk of green shoots has to do with indications that business spending is at least starting to stabilize. Investment in housing was also down 38%, the sharpest drop since 1980, and there, too, optimists have found early signs of stabilization. It's not unreasonable to think that, sometime in the next few quarters or even months, business and housing will stop dragging...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: If Consumers Won't Kick-Start the Economy, What Will? | 5/13/2009 | See Source »

...Another recent study, also from England, offers support for the set-point thesis. The second research team, based at the University of Exeter, also had a group of kids (this time, 47 boys ages 8 to 10) wear ActiGraphs. The data revealed that very few of the kids - fewer than 15% - sustained any burst of moderate-to-vigorous exercise lasting even five minutes, the kind you would get playing a soccer game in a P.E. class, for instance. And yet those kids were no healthier (as measured by waist size, aerobic fitness and microvascular function) than the kids who moved...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Kids' Exercise Matters Less Than We Think | 5/13/2009 | See Source »

...screen are familiar: advanced age and the presence of Alzheimer's genes (which are associated with the growth of fatty plaques and tangles in the brain that gum up neural connections), for example, have long been clearly linked to dementia. Even heart disease risk factors are somewhat expected, since recent studies show that the same conditions that boost the risk of heart attack, such as high cholesterol, hypertension and atherosclerosis, may also raise the risk of dementia; the theory is that whatever is causing fat deposits in heart vessels may also contribute to fat and protein deposits in the Alzheimer...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Warning Signs: A New Test to Predict Alzheimer's | 5/13/2009 | See Source »

...trumpeting the results of its recent poll as proof that students support a reversal in Harvard’s ROTC policy, the Harvard Republican Club has misrepresented the significance of a highly unscientific exercise. Last week, the HRC concluded its poll of Harvard undergraduates with an impressive 1,700 responses, 62% of which favored official recognition of ROTC at the College. Yet the HRC’s claim that the poll shows “strong support for official recognition of ROTC among Harvard students” is dubious at best. A substantial self-selection bias and a low response...

Author: By The Crimson Staff | Title: An Unfounded Claim | 5/13/2009 | See Source »

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