Word: recentered
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...there might be a glimmer of hope. Recent data shows that exports are starting to inch off their lows, an indication that the worst of the recession in Asia may be passing. In Singapore, exports rose 11% in March from February, the second straight month-on-month increase. Japan's grew by 2.2% in March from the month before, leading Merrill Lynch economists to speculate that "it is possible that exports are bottoming." Most importantly, China's exports rose 7.6% in March from February, after six straight months of contraction. "While exports growth is likely to remain weak...
...There is still a limit to how far Asia can rebound on its own. Demand in the U.S. is simply too important to Asia's export machine for the region to experience a full recovery without an increase in American consumer spending. There are recent signs, however, that U.S. demand might also be poised for a rebound. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose in April by the most since 2005, signaling that American shoppers might be ready to start buying again. The U.S. government also revealed in late April that inventories in the U.S. fell by a record...
...improving statistics don't necessarily herald a full-scale economic revival. Japan's March exports to the U.S., for example, were less than half the amount sold a year earlier. Société Générale's Maguire says that he is encouraged by the recent figures, but not enough to drastically alter his outlook on Asia's overall growth. "We've definitely seen the low, the worst of the collapse of demand," says Maguire, "but we shouldn't be looking at a V-shaped recovery." In a time of gloom and doom, Asia will take...
...telecom merger and the WHA entry sent Taiwan stocks up over 6% on Wednesday. Global economists responded by immediately upgrading Taiwan's economic outlook; Goldman Sachs added 1% to its forecast for next year's growth rate to 3.5%. JP Morgan also said that the direct flights, tourists, and recent financial agreements are a key to Taiwan's long-term structural growth. "This will also open up a wave or mergers and acquisitions between companies in Taiwan and China," said Chow. "The next industry to watch will be financial industry." (Read about Chinese tourists in Taiwan...
...outbreaks of communicable diseases. On Tuesday, health experts began inspecting air passengers from North America before they disembark from their planes, and keeping anyone with flu-like symptoms for further tests. At least this year, Taiwan will be able to fully join the fight against swine flu. "With the recent outbreak, " Dr. Yeh said Wednesday, "the whole world needs to fight this together...