Word: reit
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...little bit more cautious in the near-term, given the rally that we've had and where valuations sit," says Michael Bilerman, a Citigroup Global Markets analyst. "They're trading at a 15% to 20% premium to NAV [net asset value]." He says he wouldn't be surprised if REIT stocks saw a 5% to 10% correction in the near-term. (Read "New REITs Pounce on Distressed Mortgage Assets...
...While the U.S. economy is emerging from recession, we still anticipate a prolonged period of declining growth for REITs and commercial real estate," said Goldman Sachs analyst Jonathan Habermann in an October research note. Habermann doesn't expect to see a significant improvement in real estate rents, occupancies and property values until late 2012 at the earliest. Joseph Betlej, vice president of Advantus Capital Management and portfolio manager of the Ivy Real Estate Securities fund, believes it could be late 2012 or even 2013 before office REIT fundamentals bounce back...
...investors overreact when they jumped into the sector last March and drove REIT prices up 97% from that trough? Not exactly. REIT valuations were extremely cheap, as the sector had lost 73% of its value from its peak in February 2007. "REITs were priced in the first quarter like they were going bankrupt," says Robert W. Baird & Co. director David AuBuchon. (Read "Commercial Real Estate - the Economy's Anvil...
...this triggered a flurry of dedicated mutual funds, value managers, ETFs and hedge funds to move into the sector in a big way, notes Bilerman. Although the FTSE NAREIT All REIT Index surged 97.6% from the group's trough on March 6, it's still off 50% from its peak in February 2007, according to the NAREIT. So investors are willing to pay up for REITs based on their longer-term outlooks and potential windfall in the distressed real estate market, says Bohjalian. REITs touted as likely buyers in the distressed market are Simon Property Group, Vornado Realty Trust, Boston...
...benefits of using a REIT structure are threefold: private-equity firms can access equity capital quickly, use shares as currency in making future acquisitions and distribute a dividend to attract investors, says Steven Marks, managing director at Fitch Ratings...