Word: republican
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...elections, in which partisans and analysts hope to turn the usual dictum on its head: today, they'll try to convince you, all politics is national. Much will be made of the results, whatever they are - likely too much, in fact. But as the first sign of Democratic and Republican electoral strength since Barack Obama was elected one year ago, the results bear watching...
...Virginians in particular have consistently repudiated the new President by choosing a governor from the opposite party. The Old Dominion is likely to follow that pattern again in 2009, with Republican Bob McDonnell holding a substantial lead in recent polling. If the Democrat, Creigh Deeds, loses, the GOP will retake the executive mansion in Richmond for the first time in over a decade. Democrats will blame the loss on local issues and a weak effort by Deeds, but there will be no denying that Obama and his agenda played a role. Some conservatives are turned off by the Administration...
...Jersey, incumbent governor Corzine - already tarnished in the eyes of voters by his past as a Wall Street executive - has been hurt in his race against Republican former prosecutor Chris Christie by flare-ups of local public corruption and by eye-popping property-tax rates. But Corzine has fought back from a near fatal deficit earlier in the year thanks to four factors: 1) the rise of Chris Daggett, an independent candidate who has drawn votes away from Christie, giving Corzine a chance to win with far less than 50% of the vote, 2) the focus on Christie's personal...
...most interesting race of the three marquee contests is for New York's 23rd congressional seat, a sprawling northern district that stretches to the Canadian border. The White House tapped the former occupant, Republican John McHugh, to be the Secretary of the Army, in part to put the seat in play. Democratic businessman Bill Owens was scheduled to face off against liberal Republican Dede Scozzafava, who was nominated by local party leaders in a closed process. National conservatives, including Sarah Palin and several potential presidential candidates, rallied around a third-party candidate, conservative multi-millionaire accountant Doug Hoffman. That sent...
...Over the weekend, Scozzafava, her support crumbling in the face of Hoffman's well-financed blitz, quit the race and endorsed Owens. National Democratic officials and leftist pundits are arguing that even if Hoffman wins the race and keeps the seat in Republican hands, it will show that the GOP is hopelessly addicted to appeasing a shrinking conservative base that represents about a quarter of the total electorate. If Owens is victorious, Democrats plan to argue that the opposition is badly divided and unable to run big-tent candidates...