Word: republicanized
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...Making matters potentially worse for Democrats in Florida is that the Republican National Committee, while also sanctioning the Florida G.O.P. for the state's primary move, has not been nearly as harsh in its punishment. As a result, Republican candidates have descended on Florida and held a nationally televised debate at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton last week. That's why many fear the Democrats' no-campaign-in-Florida pledge may hurt the party in November, especially among the state's large cohort of independents. The candidates' primary absence could "end up costing the Democrats 1% of the vote...
...Florida's Republican Governor, Charlie Crist, who has spent his first year in office building bridges with Democrats, told TIME the DNC decision "just doesn't make any sense. Why would you thwart your eventual nominee's opportunity for any campaign activity, especially in a large state like Florida and especially when you're talking about electing the next leader of the free world? It doesn't send voters a very good message." Since Florida is such a bellwether for the nation as a whole, former Florida G.O.P. chairman Al Cardenas calls it "great news" for Republicans...
...about context," says Rodolfo de la Garza, a political-science professor at Columbia University. "It always depends on who else is running. Would Latino Democrats vote for a black candidate over a white Republican? Hell, yes. How about over a Latino Republican? I'm very sure they would." Guerra says name recognition and the role of mediating entities such as unions, political parties and Latino elected officials are also important. For a well-known black politician or incumbent, there is little problem winning Latino voters. But when the candidate is not well-known, it helps to be endorsed by mediating...
...Republican turnout is lagging Democratic so far, most observers point to a general sense of fatigue in the conservative movement after seven years under President Bush. Not only has the war and a growth in government sapped the party of its enthusiasm, but the grass roots has reservations about each of the leading Republican candidates, from McCain and Romney to Giuliani and even Huckabee...
...Still, Republicans are playing down the impact of the turnout numbers on their own party's fortunes in the fall. Mike Duncan, chairman of the Republican National Committee, said, "There is not a direct correlation between turnout in primaries and who is elected President." But he acknowledges, "In the last 35 years, turnout in the presidential primary favors the party out of power...