Word: return
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Before the current financial crisis began in 2007, U.S. corporate profits were at their highest level ever, both in absolute terms and as a percentage of gross domestic product. It's awfully hard to imagine a return to that kind of profitability anytime soon. Welcome to the new normal...
...overnight. In fact, with asset-dependent U.S. households remaining income-short, overly indebted and savings-deficient, subdued consumption growth is likely for years. This is because the U.S. consumption share of real GDP, which hit a record 72.4% in the first quarter of 2009, needs, at a minimum, to return to its pre-bubble norm of 67%. That spells a sharp downshift in real consumption growth from the nearly 4% average pace of 1995 to 2007 to around 1.5% over the next three to five years. There will be years when the consumer falls short of that pace. The contraction...
...upbeat. While I no longer doubt that China's performance will be better than expected in 2009, there is good reason to be wary of extrapolation. China's incipient rebound relies on a timeworn stimulus formula: upping the ante on infrastructure spending to support growth in anticipation of a return of global demand for Chinese-made goods. It's the latter presumption that remains iffy as the U.S. opts for prudence over profligacy...
...sunshine policy," in which Seoul gave North Korea aid and investment - including the development of an industrial park just north of the border - in the hopes of defusing tensions. The "sunshine policy" produced two North-South summits - in 2000 and 2007 - but Pyongyang offered Seoul no meaningful concessions in return for its help. Upon taking office last year, Lee changed course and linked further economic cooperation to the dismantlement of North Korea's nuclear program. Some in the South believe Lee has to change his hard-line stand to reduce the rising tensions. "For the past years, we had built...
...weapons," complains Kim Chang Bok, a 76-year-old retiree. "Seeing what they've done, I don't think we need to send aid." Even South Koreans who would like to see their government change its policy and provide financial support to the North still don't want to return to the old "sunshine policy" days of one-way concessions. They increasingly expect North Korea to reciprocate. "The North just keeps on demanding, but the other side has to give something back, right?" says Lim Chaery, a 22-year-old university student. North Korea "is like a whining baby...