Word: rising
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...what really drives real estate prices. A 2006 study of mortgage rates and New York City housing prices going back to 1975 by Lucas Finco of Quadlet Consulting found no correlation between lower mortgage rates and higher housing prices, or vice versa. In fact, some think a modest rise in interest rates could be good for housing demand. "For the fence sitters, rising interest rates could be the motivation they need to buy," says Steven Wieting, Citigroup's US economist...
...Finally, rising interest rates are often a harbinger of good things to come. Yes, an uptick in interest costs can slow a galloping economy. But in recessions, like we are in now, higher interest rates usually signal better economic times ahead, not worse. For instance, the yield on the 10-year government bond rose nearly 20% in November 2001 - the last month of that recession. Indeed, many economists believe the rise in interest rates now signals a return to normal, and not a sign that we are in for more trouble...
...case, the future path of corporate profits should eventually determine whether the stock market will keep rising, whether companies will start hiring again, whether this recovery will feel like much of a recovery or not. And while Wall Street's analysts are all making (for the most part increasingly optimistic) estimates of what those profits will be, they really have no idea. That's because the mostly rising corporate profits of the past 35 years have been in large part the product of a long, long rise in indebtedness, especially consumer indebtedness...
...That rise in indebtedness is now giving way to what looks to be a long slide. At least, it had better be; if consumers start piling on debt again, we'll just have another, bigger credit crisis in a few years. But if they keep increasing their savings rate and reducing their debt loads, that's bad news for corporate profits, not just bank profits. Anybody who makes things that in recent years were bought on credit, from houses to washing machines to cars, is likely to be affected. So are stock prices. "Higher borrowing produces both higher profits...
...researchers is that the democratization of computer access - as equipment has gotten cheaper - has resulted in increased ownership by new computer users or by people with less education in using the technology, who may be more prone to accidents and misuse. Whatever the root cause of the rise in injuries, it bears noting that the study data accounted only for injuries serious enough to require a visit to an emergency room. There may be many more injuries that were not reported to health officials...