Word: rising
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...hold back. The self-conscious silence in the theater shatters as the audience roars. Women scream in delight. Some people in the audience wave mock Nazi flags that resemble the real ones - verboten in Germany - but with black twisted pretzels instead of swastikas. (See pictures of Hitler's rise to power...
...pictures of Hitler's rise to power...
Banks are still full of bad news. Why are the stocks showing such strength? We've seen unprecedented liquidity being put to work in the U.S. on behalf of financials, so it was only going to be a matter of time before banks started to rise. Also, many investors have been so focused on the short term - all the recent steps taken by the Federal Reserve and the Treasury - that they have forgotten that the bank assist started in August of 2007 when the Fed cut the discount rate and opened the lending window to a wider list of financial...
...happen? Look at it this way: at the financial-stock peak they were around 27% or 28% of the S&P 500's total market capitalization; the financial sector got down to 9% at their low. Now they are about 12%. I believe the financial sector will rise back to 13% to 15%, which means the portfolio-readjustment buying isn't finished. But take note, the sector has had very big moves recently, and not all banks will be able to hang on for the next leg of this...
What's the biggest risk to a continued rise in bank stocks? There are three risks: first, that credit spreads widen again and go back up to historic highs; second, that the employment situation, on a relative basis, is not improving and we see an acceleration in the rate of weekly jobless claims; third, if housing takes another big move to the downside...