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Normally, periods of economic contraction call for stimulative measures such as cuts in taxes or increases in Government spending to get business going again. But the looming federal deficit is forcing the Administration to begin thinking instead of tax increases and further budget cuts. Said Alice Rivlin, director of the Congressional Budget Office and a guest at last week's meeting: "The lead time on both tax and spending changes is necessarily very long for the Congress, so any serious effort to solve the fiscal 1983 and 1984 deficit problems would have to start right away...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Still Stuck in the Slush: The new year will start in recession | 12/28/1981 | See Source »

...other hand, Alice Rivlin argued that there simply is not all that much left in the federal budget to cut unless the President begins to look at previously untouchable spending programs. Said she: "To balance the fiscal 1984 budget, you would have to reduce Government spending from 23% of G.N.P to 19%. If you leave out defense spending, interest on the debt and entitlement programs such as Social Security and Civil Service retirement, you wind up having to cut everything else in the budget by more than 75%. That would mean practically closing down the Government." Added Charles Schultze, chief...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Still Stuck in the Slush: The new year will start in recession | 12/28/1981 | See Source »

Forecasts by experts outside the Administration are even more disquieting. Last week Alice Rivlin, director of the Congressional Budget Office, warned a House banking subcommittee that the deficit could reach $100 billion in fiscal 1984, even if the economy performs well. A deficit of that magnitude would make a mockery of the fiscal conservatism that Reagan promised would be a hallmark of his Administration. One of the most alarming projections of all came from Chase Econometrics, an economic consulting firm, which forecast that without future changes in the law to reduce spending, the deficit will be $144 billion...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Policy-Testing Time | 11/9/1981 | See Source »

...three years passed in July was certain to swell budget deficits far beyond what had been anticipated. The bond and stock markets have slipped dramatically since then in anticipation of a sluggish economy, continued high interest rates and a 1982 deficit that analysts feared might top $60 billion. Alice Rivlin, head of the Congressional Budget Office, accepted that figure. So did one of Reagan's unofficial economic advisers, Alan Greenspan...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Rough Waters Ahead | 10/5/1981 | See Source »

Those people who fiddle around with the federal budget have become the new cult figures in Washington. There is glamour in ledgers, computer print-outs and bar graphs. The big star, clearly, is David Stockman, director of the Office of Management and Budget. But Alice Rivlin, director of the Congressional Budget Office, surely deserves an Oscar for supporting actress in this new drama...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Presidency: Master of an Arcane Crisis | 10/5/1981 | See Source »

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