Word: roadmaps
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...militant groups will sooner or later send suicide bombers to veto the latest peace plan, such restraint may prove difficult for Sharon to maintain and for the Bush administration to request. The security situation may remains a huge obstacle to getting started along the "roadmap," and a major trip wire every step of the way after that...
...primary focus of the U.S. and Israel going into the "roadmap" process is a Palestinian crackdown on terrorism, which not only restrains the groups who attack Israelis but arrests their leaders, disarms and dissolves them. That goal may be beyond the reach of Abbas or any other Palestinian leader right now, and instead the prime minister is focused on persuading Hamas (and other organizations) to embrace a cease-fire. His security chief has drawn up plans to buy back weapons from militant groups and integrate gunmen into the security services. That's not exactly the comprehensive war on terror...
...Ehud Barak shortly before Sharon's election, that the eventual borders of a Palestinian state will comprise most or all of the West Bank and Gaza, Sharon's vision of Palestine is considerably (in the cartographic sense) narrower. Not surprising, then, Israel's cabinet stopped short of endorsing the "roadmap" itself, instead allowing itself plenty of wiggle room by embracing "steps set out in the roadmap." That's because the full document suggests the endpoint of the process would be guided, in part, by United Nations Resolution 242 and last year's Saudi proposal endorsed by the Arab League, both...
...President Bush has made clear that he expects Sharon to "address" the settlements and allow for territorial contiguity of a Palestinian entity. The roadmap, in its first phase, requires the dismantling of all new settlements and outposts built since March 2001, and the freezing of new construction on settlements built before that. Sharon has spoken of dismantling "illegal" outposts - those built without government authorization, although his narrow use of the term "illegal" deflects attention from the fact that the legal status of all Israeli settlements in the West Bank and Gaza is contested, and their future had been...
...Perhaps one of the few things the "roadmap" has going for it is that in the Mideast region, expectations of success are almost uniformly low. The Arabs are expecting Sharon to refuse to move against the settlers, while the Israelis are expecting Abbas to fail in his efforts to stop terrorism. Left to navigate the road map without outside supervision, the Israelis and Palestinians would unlikely stay the course for more than a couple of weeks - the reason they're talking now is that the Bush administration is micromanaging the process. And the extent of real political differences and deep...