Word: roper
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While Elmo Roper and Thomas E. Dewey have assured the American people that the presidential election this year will be a mere formality, Republican chiefs are quaking in their well-polished boots over the future of the Senate. Since 1946, the GOP has held a modest 51 to 45 edge. But of the 17 Republican seats up for vote in November, no less than eight may fall to the Democrats--yet of the 14 Democratic seats, only four or five are doubtful. An over-all gain of four seats would give control of the upper house back to the Democrats...
...there was not much more which Pollster Roper could report about the presidential race. Said he: "My silence [in the future] on this point can be construed as an indication that Mr. Dewey is still so clearly ahead that we might just as well get ready to listen to his Inaugural...
...Pollster Roper missed the actual returns by 1.2%; in 1940 by .6%; in 1944 by .2% (though his survey did not estimate the soldier vote...
...Clearly Ahead." Roper would continue to keep an eye on the campaign, nonetheless. For one thing, the Democrats still had congressional and gubernatorial candidates who might be able to buck the Republican groundswell. Because of many close Senate races, there was even an outside chance of a Democratic Senate next year...
Political prophets like Pollster Elmo Roper were publicly advising the President to throw in the sponge (see above). Eleanor Roosevelt practically conceded a Republican sweep; she included in one of her daily columns a friendly warning for President-apparent Tom Dewey on the problem of getting along with Congress. Heading back from a swing through the West, Columnist Marquis Childs reported the Pacific Coast in the bag for the Republicans, gave the Democrats a fighting chance in only five of eleven western states...