Word: rpg
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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Winter (8.9 ppg, 5.2 rpg), who plays power forward, also worked on his strength and size this summer in order to give the Crimson more of a post presence...
However, a garden-variety Statistics 100 course doesn’t come close to teaching you how to figure out an OERA. Morris’ contribution was to derive a simple formula, RPG, that calculated OERA without advanced techniques. “This [OERA] paper lay dormant [until] Morris found a simple formula for it,” Cover says. “He has made it a worthwhile statistic. I’m involved in the past history of it, but Morris is the one who’s made this work...
Morris’ RPG formula can be approximated by just three components. First is the on-base odds, or the ratio of times a player reaches base to the number of times he makes an out. Second is a statistic Morris calls batting texture, which is the average contribution relative to a single a player makes when he reaches base. Walks are worth three-quarters of a single, doubles 1.5 times as much, triples twice as much and home runs three times as much, so a player whose plate appearances resulted only in doubles and outs would have a batting...
Morris says he developed the simple RPG formula over 20 years ago, but only began calling sportswriters to let them know about the statistic when he calculated that a team of nine 2002 Bondses would score an astronomical 22.4 runs per game—smashing the record held by Babe Ruth of 18.5 runs per nine innings in 1923. “What’s bugging me,” he says, “is that this incredible thing is happening and nobody notices. I wanted to make sure people knew it. Imagine if when Bonds...
...from .89 to two-thirds.” As Rich Aurilia comes up, Bonds lurks in the hole. Aurilia flies to center, driving in Bell, and second baseman Jeff Kent follows up the sacrifice with a single, loading the bases with two out for the man who put RPG on the map. With the bases loaded, it doesn’t take a degree in statistics to know the Cardinals have to pitch to Bonds...