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...polling stations nationwide will not be able to open on the day of elections due to violence, most in the Pashtun-dominated south where Karzai is favored, possibly depriving him of a first-round victory (if no candidate gets 50% of the vote, elections will go to a runoff a month later). The possible closing of some 10% of the polls has raised fears that the elections will not be perceived as fair, particularly among Pashtuns, who make up the majority of Taliban insurgents. The areas where Abdullah is most popular tend to be in the more stable north, where...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Karzai's Challenger Dr. Abdullah Abdullah | 8/5/2009 | See Source »

...assumed that the Iranian presidential election was rigged, but it is impossible to know how heavily the government's thumb rested on the scales. It is entirely possible that Ahmadinejad would have won anyway, but narrowly, perhaps with less than 50% of the vote, setting up a runoff election he might have lost as the other candidates united against him. It is possible that his government, perhaps acting in concert with Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali Khamenei, decided to take no chances. (Read "The Man Who Could Beat Ahmadinejad: Mousavi Talks to TIME...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Joe Klein: What I Saw at the Revolution | 6/18/2009 | See Source »

...backers inside the regime's councils prompts Khamenei to conclude that an Ahmadinejad victory is untenable, he could press the Guardian Council to heed the opposition's demand for a new vote - or, more likely, "adjust" the result so that no candidate has a clear majority, forcing a runoff election between Ahmadinejad and Mousavi. Such a course would be a bitter pill for the Supreme Leader, dealing a body blow to his efforts to install Ahmadinejad and mocking his authority by forcing him to reverse himself. Whatever its outcome, this crisis has badly damaged Khamenei's credibility within the regime...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran: Four Ways the Crisis May Resolve | 6/18/2009 | See Source »

...competing crowds of supporters mass on the streets each night, some, like Hadian, are now predicting a Mousavi victory in the first round. (If no candidate wins a simple majority in Friday's vote, the top two contenders will meet in a runoff a week later.) Others are more cautious, unsure of the mood outside the capital and aware that Iranian elections are notoriously difficult to predict...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Ahead of Iran Election, President's Rivals Gain Hope | 6/11/2009 | See Source »

...spend $100 million on advertising and can send out enough troops to control an election, especially since the glut of elections keeps people with jobs and the ability to drive at night from showing up. On May 19, only 25% of voters turned out. Even the heated 2005 mayoral runoff between then mayor James Hahn and Antonio Villaraigosa moved only 29% of the people, and most of them were sleeping with Villaraigosa...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Joel Stein on California's State of Insanity | 6/8/2009 | See Source »

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