Word: russian
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...heightened political tensions between Russia and the West are sure to prompt potential investors to take an even longer, closer look before plunging into the Russian market. There has been talk in Washington and elsewhere of kicking Russia out of the G-8 group of nations, and some analysts believe the Kremlin's actions will ultimately prove counterproductive for the economy. In a note to clients, Commerzbank analyst Michael Ganske wrote: "The strong macroeconomic story of the country is increasingly obscured by homemade negative headlines and developments that clearly worsen the economic outlook for Russia." Ganske went...
...every disillusioned or disheartened Russia booster considering withdrawal, there's someone else who is eager to pile back in. On Aug. 11, Credit Suisse issued a research note arguing that this is a great time to buy Russian stocks. The market "has been punished excessively over the last couple of weeks," wrote analyst Vladimir Savov. "While warfare is never a good thing, fundamentally Russia's economy and infrastructure are not affected ... The likelihood of military involvement of other superpowers is below average. The situation may end soon, to be replaced by diplomatic negotiations." And even as bullets flew in Georgia...
...still fresh, investors didn't stop there: Putin's comments wiped tens of billions of dollars off Russia's stock market in a matter of days. The Mechel furore came on top of an ugly, months-long scrap over control of oil company TNK-BP between BP and its Russian billionaire partners. Robert Dudley, the BP-appointed CEO, last month quit Russia, citing "sustained harassment of the company and myself." BP blames its Russian partners for orchestrating a state administrative and regulatory crackdown on the firm in recent months; the Russians claim BP hasn't lived up to its contractual...
...Amsterdam believes the fighting in South Ossetia is filled with important messages for the West. Among them: Putin's central role, even after ceding the presidency to Dmitry Medvedev, and Russia's apparent attempt to bomb an oil pipeline to the West, one of several new alternatives to the Russian-controlled network. It was a warning shot, he and others argue, against those who would try to challenge Russia's dominance of oil and gas supplies to Europe...
...moment, the best bellwether of Western sentiment remains the stock market. Its recent nosedive reflects not just political turmoil, but also signs of an economy under stress. While GDP is expected to rise about 7.5% this year, Neil Shearing, an economist at Capital Economics in London, warns that unless Russian authorities get a grip on this heady growth and "take some of the steam out of the economy, we could have a fairly nasty correction over the medium term." Meanwhile, a report published by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in July warned that Moscow must do much more...