Word: sabato
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...just this week, Rhodes Cook, who writes for Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, published an invaluable study that is the best glimpse yet of who is likely to be voting this fall. Cook did a deep dive in the new registrations from the 29 states that collect that data by party and found, in effect, that about 1,000,000 people have left the Republican party since 2004, while another 700,000 voters have become Democrats...
...Muslim or refuses to recite the Pledge of Allegiance. And third, his choice of venues was telling: semirural, mostly white areas where many voters have been skeptical of his candidacy. "Obama will never win rural America in the fall, but this is about margins," says Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. "Rural voters like to judge candidates up close and personal. The more they see of Obama, the less strange and foreign he will become. The acceptability quotient can shave a few percent off McCain's rural majorities, enabling rural people upset about...
...Celebrity politicians have often had a hard time winning Senate popularity contests. West Virginia Senator Robert Byrd, for example, wrested Ted Kennedy's No. 2 slot from him in 1971 in part because of Kennedy's fame. "Byrd shocked everyone by defeating Kennedy," said Larry Sabato, a political science professor at the University of Virginia. "Why? Other Democratic senators saw Kennedy as a national figure who would use the Senate post as a platform for his own ambitions, while Byrd was viewed as a Senate-based persona who would spend his time and energies making senators' lives work well. Nothing...
...First, though, Clinton has some fence mending to do with her colleagues. And, ultimately, she may decide it's not worth it, Sabato said. "Clinton may be restless in the Senate," he said. "She came tantalizingly close to being the most powerful person in the world. Being one of 100 in a body that is half the Congress is a poor substitute. Losing presidential candidates have a hard time readjusting, as John Kerry can attest." Though as Clinton is proving in this Presidential race, she is likely to stick around the Senate a lot longer than most people expect...
...possibility that the Congressional Democratic majority could grow to a size not seen since the 1980s; though it is still early in the cycle, political observers say Democrats hope to pick up one or more Senate seats and as many as a dozen more House seats. Or as Larry Sabato, a political prognosticator at the University of Virginia, put it, "Republicans have to worry that this tide could turn into a tsunami by November...