Word: sabato
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Dates: during 2010-2019
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...unparalleled ability to pry open checkbooks. But analysts are beginning to wonder whether his endorsement is still a game-changing asset. In recent statewide races in New Jersey, Virginia and Massachusetts, "vigorous efforts by Obama could not produce the Obama surge with voters at the polls," says Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia...
...Still, Sabato cautions that "sometimes, we're too quick to draw conclusions from two or three data points." He notes that in Colorado, where Bennet is fighting a primary challenge from former Colorado house speaker Andrew Romanoff, Obama has the potential to kindle a groundswell of grass-roots support. Bennet was appointed to the seat last year, when Obama tapped former Colorado Senator Ken Salazar to join his Administration as Secretary of the Interior. A recent poll put Bennet 14 percentage points behind in a potential matchup with Republican candidate Jane Norton. (See pictures of Obama's State...
...contrast, Reid - a veteran with ample name recognition who is lagging in his race for re-election - "is going to rise and fall on his own," says Sabato. "Appearances by Obama probably won't make much difference." But Obama probably isn't helping; he recently irked Nevada natives by warning Americans not to spend precious dollars on a trip to Las Vegas - a cutting criticism for a city whose lifeblood is tourism. Opponents seized on the remark. Danny Tarkanian, the son of former UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian and one of Reid's potential Republican opponents, dubbed the meeting between...
...sign of what lay ahead for the GOP in a political landscape changed by the election of President Obama. "If Hutchison can beat Perry in a GOP primary dominated by conservatives, it may indicate that some of the activists have gotten the message," says political analyst Larry Sabato. "To be governor of Texas and to win as a moderate conservative Republican, she becomes a very hot property ... She'll automatically become a prospect for Vice President." But that was a year ago, before tea became a tonic for conservatives across the country...