Word: sadat
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This brings me to the other course of developments through which the Middle East is moving. In 1977, when Sadat embarked on his dramatic trip to Jerusalem, the whole area was still greatly under American influence. This was the case in Saudi Arabia, in Iran, in the Sudan, Morocco and Jordan. Today, however, the situation is different. The Shah of Iran left his country, and Iran is undergoing a radical, anti-Western, anti-American revolution, with instability as its most immediate characteristic. Whatever stability and normalization the oil market regained in the years between 1975 and 1978 has disappeared, with...
...first process is the peace-making process, both with regard to the bilateral Egyptian-Israeli aspect as well as the inter-Arab, anti-Egyptian reaction which followed President Sadat's initiative, the Camp David agreements and the Peace Treaty. The other process is that of cultural, political, and social revolution and transition progressively sweeping almost all Middle Eastern countries. It is a process characterized by instability. Of course the most dramatic recent event was the fall of the Shah's regime in Iran and the establishment of a new, radical fanatic Islamic society...
Through one bold step Sadat succeeded in completely changing all previously known and accepted norms. And, Sadat is confident that his policy of pragmatism is the right one, for Egypt, as well as for the rest of the Arab countries. He was not intimidated by the inter-Arab coalition opposing him. He believes that this anti-Egyptian, anti-peace-making front will disintegrate and, sooner or later, all others will follow suit...
Since we are in the middle of the process it would be foolish to make any definite forecasts as to the outcome. Nevertheless, in reviewing the last two years since Sadat's decision, Egypt has already had one very significant victory: The anti-Sadat, anti-Camp David, anti-Peace Front is already falling apart, I must say, sooner than I had expected. The traditional rivalry between Iraq and Syria, between the two Ba'ath regimes has proved to be, for the time being, stronger than the anti-Israeli cement...
...Israeli Premier Menachem Begin. Translation: If Carter has emerged by that time as the all-but-certain Democratic presidential candidate, he will be in a position to devote a lot of time this summer to the Middle East. Both the Israelis and the Egyptians believe that Carter would invite Sadat and Begin to another summit at that time for a round of intensive-and very tough-negotiations on the autonomy impasse...