Word: scenario
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...imagine any scenario under which disturbances inside a Warsaw Pact country would require Soviet military intervention...
What clouded Washington's initially rosy scenario was the surprising tenacity of the Najibullah government. Few thought the leader handpicked by the Soviets could survive the departure of Moscow's troops, but he has moved with unexpected astuteness, politically and militarily. A much heralded mujahedin assault on the city of Jalalabad has bogged down in a costly siege. In a battle plan now called a "disaster" by a U.S. official, the guerrillas failed to make the transition from hit-and-run attackers to disciplined militiamen able to plan and carry out complicated offensives...
...scenario sounds all too familiar -- and implausible. In February 1988, when Noriega was indicted on drug charges, the Reagan Administration expected Noriega to flee in panic. He stayed. Two months later Washington dispatched 1,300 additional troops to U.S. bases in Panama, hoping their very presence would cow Noriega into submission. It didn't. Then the U.S. imposed limited economic sanctions, designed to choke off the country's cash flow. The dollar shortage fell hardest on Panama's middle class, who began to grumble about unreliable American allies. That allowed Noriega to rally support inside as well as beyond Panama...
...becomes almost irrelevant; either way, his effectiveness as Speaker would be undermined. Like Ed Meese, he would probably hang on to his job for a while for appearances' sake, then quietly resign (no one expects him to leave the House). The Speaker still has time to turn that glum scenario around, but he will have to mount a more convincing defense than any he has been able to produce to date...
...Onoar remains unconvinced that the experiment at the University of Utah will significantly alter this scenario. "Right now, I see [fusion] as unlikely," he says...