Word: scenario
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...would it begin? In one grim scenario, it would start with Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, who is in the most exposed position of all. His controlled media have long been replete with fervent anti-Israeli propaganda in a deliberate attempt to deflect attention from corruption and mismanagement at home. Endless television replays of the most brutal scenes of the Israeli occupation have hammered home the message that Egypt's most urgent concern is the plight of the Palestinians. At the same time, what is still a military-based regime justifies large expenditures on the armed forces amid extreme poverty...
Competing mobilizations amid mounting waves of popular enthusiasm would be a direct replay of what happened in 1967, which back then triggered humiliating Arab military defeats and the Israeli occupation of Gaza, the West Bank and the Golan Heights, which still endures. For that very reason the scenario might seem exceedingly improbable. As the frequent references to 7th century events in political speeches show, Arabs have excellent historical memories. Even those born after 1967 know the story very well. Certainly each government has powerful reasons to refrain from anything more than diplomatic protests even if Arafat is killed. Egypt would...
...Arab-buildup scenario came to pass, the Israelis would be forced to mobilize some 425,000 reservists to staff their armed forces, a large part of their entire able-bodied population. Because it would paralyze their economy and indeed society as a whole, mobilization cannot last much more than a few weeks at most. Unless diplomatic pressure induces the Arab forces to withdraw again, the Israelis would attack to force them into flight or destroy them...
...Pontiff is bound to step down if he believes it is in the church's interest. In such a case, a new Pope would be elected by the usual method of a conclave of the College of Cardinals. Among the difficult questions in such a scenario is what role the outgoing Pope would have in choosing his successor...
...Weinsteins still enjoy strong support from their parent company. "They may get under people's skin, including ours sometimes," says Eisner, "but the pain is worth it." Moreover, Talk Miramax Books, which is still run by former Talk magazine editor Tina Brown, has been successful. In a long-shot scenario, the publishing division will eventually cover Harvey's magazine losses by providing material for movies...