Word: scenario
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...secretary of the Congress of South African Trade Unions, warned the country may be "drifting toward dictatorship." For Mbeki, stopping Zuma, whom he had come to view as wholly unfit for office, seemed to become the end to justify all means. "The possibility of a Zuma presidency was a scenario far worse than a dream deferred," writes Gevisser. "It would be, in effect, a dream shattered." That may or may not be true for South Africa. In all likelihood, it will soon be true for Mbeki...
...risk of real trouble? Belgrade is threatening to cut off electricity supplies and close trade corridors, but it has ruled out a military response, and 15,000 NATO peacekeepers remain on the ground in Kosovo to prevent open conflict. But in one scenario, ethnic Serb police stationed in northern Kosovo and supervised by the U.N. would change sides after a declaration of independence, thus compelling the U.N. to impose martial law. Violence could also flare if ethnic Albanians attempt to march on Mitrovice to prevent it from seceding. Any such conflict could easily spill across borders. Meanwhile, Serbs in neighboring...
...question mark is OPEC, which represents the oil powers of the Middle East and a few other big exporters and currently accounts for 41% of world oil production. Every optimistic scenario assumes that this share will rise dramatically in the coming decades. That is, if things turn out well, the U.S. will become substantially more dependent on Saudi Arabia and its neighbors. Great...
...Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte was followed with much interest in India. Some analysts saw his meeting with Lt. Gen. Ashfaq Kiyani, tipped to be the next army chief, as preparation for what would follow after Musharraf steps down as Army Chief of Staff. "The most unfortunate scenario would be if, post-elections, the Pakistan army's support should get divided between Musharraf and Kiyani," says Behuria, "The army is what keeps Pakistan together and brings a measure of stability to an otherwise highly unstable political scenario. Hence, getting Kiyani on board is a good move...
...country constantly on the verge of civil war and invasion does not need two contending governments. But that is the dangerous scenario facing Lebanon this week. On Wednesday, members of the country's parliament are scheduled to vote on a replacement for Emile Lahoud, whose term ends midnight Friday. By unwritten agreement in this deeply sectarian nation, the President must be a Maronite Christian (the Prime Minister must be Sunni; the speaker of the assembly Shi'ite). Lahoud was an advocate of the policies of neighboring Syria, which until 2005 was the overlord of Lebanon...