Word: scenarios
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Thorp, who at 74 no longer runs a hedge fund but still invests in a few, doesn't worry too much about a meltdown. "My opinion is that the most likely scenario is not a blowup but rather that hedge funds as a group will gradually and continuously lose their edge (if they haven't already) over other asset classes," he writes in an e-mail. "Then they will 'top out'--like mutual funds, real estate, etc.--and then just be a fluctuating fraction of total financial assets--part of the financial landscape...
Even this, the ice scenario, is bad news for the many pension funds that are only now plunging into hedge funds. Top hedge funds are often closed to new investors, meaning that newcomers are apt to get worse-than-mediocre performance while still paying 1% or 2% of assets and 20% of the profits to the managers. There is a cheaper alternative: just as Vanguard launched the first stock-index mutual fund in 1976, Wall Street firms are beginning to offer low-cost funds that mimic common hedge-fund strategies. The first get-together of this nascent "hedge-fund replication...
...light of Ogunwole’s absence, whether it be for the best-case scenario of a few weeks or longer, his importance to the Crimson becomes even more obvious than it was before the injury...
...about to take [Weibel] down,” senior tri-captain Robbie Preston said. “[Weibel] tried to throw him, and he landed funny and felt his elbow pop. He’s having his arm checked out, and the best-case scenario is having him miss a couple of weeks, but it would really be a disappointment to see him sidelined, especially with this being his last year.”“We don’t really know what is going on, but hopefully it’s something minor,” freshman...
...Foundation on International and Cross-Strait Studies and a former deputy defense minister, points to the Taiwan Straits crisis of 1996, when escalating tensions prompted the U.S. to send two aircraft carrier battle groups to the region in an attempt to defuse the situation. In a similar scenario today, Lin says, China's ability to destroy satellites would reduce the effectiveness of U.S. forces, which rely heavily on them for real-time battlefield data. "Now China has the capability to knock out the eyes in the heaven for the U.S.," Lin says...