Word: scenarios
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...years until 1990, and creating a new field of instability even as the U.S. struggles with crises in places like Iraq and Iran. Israel's strikes against Lebanon have provoked Shi'ite radicals in Iraq, who are threatening to attack U.S. troops in retaliation. The most chilling scenario is that the Israeli-Lebanese dispute could grow into a wider war, if Hizballah's backers in Iran or Syria decide or are provoked to join the fray--a possibility that grew when Israeli intelligence claimed on Saturday that Iranian forces helped Hizballah fighters hit an Israeli ship off the coast...
...have greeted the day as one of bright hope, as leaders of the Basque Socialist Party, the local branch of Spain's ruling Socialist Party, and Batasuna, an illegal party traditionally considered the political wing of the violent separatist group ETA, met at a local hotel to discuss a scenario for ending more than 30 years of conflict that had cost almost 1,000 lives. For most people in this resort town on the Bay of Biscay, these talks represent a breakthrough moment in modern Spanish history, which could mark the beginning of a long-awaited peace process...
...this glum scenario? To close our fiscal gap, we face a menu of pain: raise income taxes 70%, hike payroll taxes 109%, cut Social Security and Medicare a combined 41%, eliminate 79% of federal discretionary spending, or some combination. Waiting only makes the options worse and could lead to hyperinflation. Countries that can't cover their spending with taxes end up printing money to pay their bills. That leads to runaway prices, sky-high interest rates, a weakening currency and economic decline...
That, as any parent knows, is a scenario trip-wired for fights--and that's what happened. The experimenters ranked the conflicts on a five-point scale, with one being a single cross word and five being a full-blown brawl. The next year, they went to the same children's schools to observe them at play and interview their teachers. Almost universally, the kids who practiced the best conflict-resolution skills at home carried those abilities into the classroom...
...challenges, the Administration needs to continue to support the State Department's aggressive efforts to make sure that the small fish at Guantánamo move on. The logic that gave rise to the Administration's broad powers of detention, interrogation and surveillance is the logic of the worst-case scenario, of terrorist masterminds and ticking time bombs. It's consistent with that logic that a place like Guantánamo be reserved for only the most dangerous terrorists...