Word: scenarios
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...transportation and alcohol situations weren’t bad enough, the College has also proposed relocating all HoCo tailgates to Ohiri Field, about a third of a mile from the student group and general admission tailgates. So here, then, is the scenario the College seems to be pushing: a separate, contained, U-Haul-less HoCo tailgate with wristbands and heavy tutor supervision. Now that’s a party...
...result, Pakistanis doubt that the U.S. military can produce an October surprise--a scenario in which bin Laden is grabbed and Bush reaps the electoral gains. And beyond politics, Pakistani officials say they're not convinced that bin Laden really matters anymore. Says a senior Pakistani intelligence official: "For years the Bush Administration insisted that O.B.L. was running a terrorism franchise. We told them that it was not like this, that while al-Qaeda has a global ideology--hatred of America--their operations are local...
...Zarqawi's fighters think nothing of the martyrdom that comes from dying in battle, and if they simply vanished this time, U.S. forces will surely see them again. "Our worst-case scenario is where we have an enemy who is not coming out to fight," says Pangelinan...
...Peter Schwartz, it's all in a day's work. Remember the talking ads, animated cereal box and self-updating newspaper in Stephen Spielberg's Minority Report, set in 2054? All from Schwartz. Meanwhile, his consulting firm, Global Business Network (GBN), based in Emeryville, Calif., plots out future scenarios--such as whether another SARS outbreak could affect Singapore Airlines--to help businesses plan for the unthinkable. "Somewhere in each scenario exercise--if we've done our homework--is the future," says Schwartz, 58. "Very rarely have we really missed. More often our failure is in getting people to take...
...Schwartz flinches when you call any of them predictions, since each scenario is only one of a set. The Greening of Russia scenario that foresaw the rise of Gorbachev, for example, was balanced against the New Stalinism, which imagined a hard-line Soviet backlash. "If you try to predict something," says Schwartz, "you end up with very conventional ideas. Scenarios help you anticipate surprises...