Word: scenarios
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...ADMIT that this scenario is my version of a "nightmare scenario" (remember the State Department's version: a peaceful Iraqi withdrawal from Kuwait). There is a (however dwindling) possibility that Saddam Hussein will be overthrown. There is hope that the Arab world will come to terms with the reality of Israel, accept its existence and thereby convince the Israelis to trade occupied land for peace with the Palestinians. And there is hope that the Arab societies will allow for greater freedom and greater responsibility on the part of their people, providing them with a more just and humane existence...
...largest republic, has spent months poised on the brink of conflict with neighboring Croatia on behalf of the ethnic Serbs living there. But last week, the most harrowing for Yugoslavia since the end of World War II, Serbia was fighting battles entirely within its own borders. In a scenario that seems to have become a rite of passage in the new Europe, the people of the republic were pitted against an autocratic regime, Serbia's communist government. The showdown came in the capital, Belgrade, where anticommunist demonstrations paralyzed the city center for three tense days and nights after a weekend...
British diplomats believe that scenario would be more likely if the Saudi ideas are adopted than if they are not. By backing Iraq, they believe, Hussein has won enough popularity with Jordan's Palestinian citizens to hold on in Amman, but he might indeed fall in an expanded, overwhelmingly Palestinian Jordan. London and Riyadh do agree that Syria is willing to make some sort of settlement with Israel about the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights if parallel progress can be made toward solving the Palestinian problem...
...hopeful scenario, from the West's vantage point, was that the chaos would provoke the army, or perhaps one of Saddam's Baathist associates, to grab power. "At some point," says a Bush Administration official, "somebody is going to say, 'The country is coming apart, and we have to put a stop to it.' And the way to do that is to remove Saddam himself." His would-be deposer, however, may have to move fast, while there is still a country...
Saddam has made so many enemies that it would be suicide for him to hand over power voluntarily -- unless he could get political asylum somewhere else. The most likely scenario -- one that has ample precedent in Iraqi politics -- is a coup by military commanders who feel that Saddam must pay the price for his misguided venture into Kuwait. There is reason for their anger: at every stage in the confrontation, Saddam's blunders led to humiliation for Iraq. He personally devised a war-fighting strategy that resulted in the slaughter of large numbers of Iraqi soldiers while inflicting only...