Word: scenarios
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...September quarter.) The downturn would meet the official definition of a recession, which is at least two straight quarters of falling GNP. The panel said the U.S. appeared likely to resume slow growth by mid-1991 as the Federal Reserve Board lowers interest rates to stimulate business activity. That scenario would amount to a far milder recession than the severe 1981-82 downturn, which lasted 16 months...
...knows what the next 30 days will bring. One hopes they will bring a peaceful settlement to the crisis. But here is another, more likely scenario...
Meet Me at the Hague. In this scenario, Saddam would pull out fully, ! supposedly without conditions but with the understanding that Iraq and Kuwait would then take their territorial conflicts to the World Court for arbitration. If Saddam can produce proof of his claims that Kuwait encroached on Iraqi territory and used slant-drilling technology to take more than its share from the baguette-shaped Rumaila oil field, which straddles the two countries, he could win compensation...
...Link Link. This option might be combined with one of the first two or alone might prove sufficient incentive for Saddam to retreat. In this scenario, Saddam would pull out of Kuwait reasonably confident, if not certain, that relatively soon afterward the U.S. and the Soviet Union would convene an international peace conference that would deal with the plight of the Palestinians, whose cause Saddam has trumpeted lately...
...first chapter, "Hijack," sets up the scenario for Saddam's invasion and how the U.S. and Kuwait failed to read his signals correctly. The authors report that last spring, Saddam demanded "$30 million in fresh money" from Arab leaders to offset costs accrued during the recently ended Iran-Iraq war. "Go and tell them in Saudi Arabia and in the Gulf that if they don't give it to me, I will know how to take it," he threatened...