Word: scenarios
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Nevertheless, the Persian Gulf crisis has managed to spark heated debate inside and outside the classroom. Students say that there are flyers everywhere about the crisis and that the whole scenario in the Middle East has become a hot conversation topic...
...This scenario must be very much on Saddam's mind too, a fact that argues against his giving up his new 19th province without a fight. For the moment Saddam appears to be calculating that the danger he faces from his population as food supplies run low is not yet as great as the perils he would face from his generals should he pull out of Kuwait with nothing to show...
Saddam may also be contemplating what Middle East experts have dubbed the Samson scenario, lashing out in desperate attempts to relieve the siege, even if his efforts pull him down too. Some suggest he might invade Jordan in order to provoke Israeli intervention and turn the struggle into an Arab-Israeli war. Others believe he might launch air and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia's oil fields, take millions of barrels of oil out of production and create a world financial crisis. And there is widespread worry that he might torture or kill his hostages...
...that is an optimistic scenario. Continuing large price boosts, especially if produced by a protracted war on the Arabian Peninsula, could bring what a government official calls a "deep, deep recession." Worse yet, it would be an inflationary recession. Oil-price increases push up the cost of not only gasoline and heating fuel but also everything else made from petrochemicals: detergents, paint, ink, plastics and anything packaged in them, to name only a few. Anthony Vignola, chief economist of the Kidder Peabody brokerage firm, figures that if the recent rise of crude oil to almost...
Several days after Iraq invaded Kuwait, a clandestine radio station passed word that a satellite would pass over Kuwait City at midnight and snap photographs. The message instructed citizens to go to their roofs to demonstrate their opposition to Saddam Hussein. As improbable as that scenario might sound, thousands of Kuwaitis climbed to the tops of buildings at midnight and unfurled huge banners in Arabic and English -- the letters three feet high -- reading KUWAIT FOR US, NOT FOR THE IRAQIS! and WE DIE AND KUWAIT LIVES! Despite the bursts from automatic weapons fired into the air by nervous Iraqi soldiers...